Wheat crop condition report

 

Welcome to the Elders Wheat Crop Condition Report. Providing you timely, data-driven monthly insights into how Australia's wheat crops are tracking and helping you understand seasonal conditions in your own local region. 

Developed in partnership with Octopusbot, the report combines artificial intelligence, weather data and satellite imagery to deliver monthly insights during the key wheat growing season of July to November. It will track crop performance across five states and 19 growing regions. This enables you to make more informed on-farm planning, better decision-making and conversations with trusted advisers. It is designed to complement local agronomic knowledge by placing regional conditions in a national context.

Crop update October 2026

According to the report, Australia's wheat crop eased slightly over the past month. The national Condition Index is 66.5 out of 100. 

This is down from 67.1 in September and below last year's actual of 68.6. 51 per cent of the crop is rated Fair, while the share rated Good or Excellent is 40 per cent. South Australia and Victoria hold the strongest crops, while Queensland is the weakest of the five states.

Download and read the October report now. (PDF)

How to read this report

*Octopusbot's AI forecasts the yield in every wheat-growing region, then compares it with what that region usually grows. Each region gets one of five ratings, each mapping to a band of the 0 to 100 Condition Index:

  • Very poor: 0 to 10. Over 40 pc below usual
  • Poor: 10 to 30. 20 to 40 pc below
  • Fair: 30 to 70. Within 20 pc of usual
  • Good: 70 to 90. 20 to 40 pc above
  • Excellent: 90 to 100. Over 40 pc above usual.

 

Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is given for the purpose of providing general information only, and while Elders has exercised reasonable care, skill and diligence in its preparation, many factors (including environmental and seasonal) can impact its accuracy and currency. Accordingly, the information should not be relied upon under any circumstances and Elders assumes no liability for any loss consequently suffered. If you would like to speak to someone for tailored advice relating to any of the matters referred to in this report, please contact your relevant Elders representative.

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