Water update - 19 August

 

Welcome to the Elders Water Market Update for the 2024/25 season, for the week beginning 19 August 2024.

Opportunities of the week

  • Sellers of various sized parcels of Murrumbidgee Irrigation allocation at $135 per megalitre. 
  • Buyer of 100 megalitres of Murrumbidgee Irrigation High Security entitlement at $8,500 per megalitre, inclusive of 2024/25 allocation.

Allocations

Comparatively to 12 months ago, allocations are as follows: 

 Zone  Allocation 1 year ago  +/- per cent 

Murrumbidgee

   

High Security

95 pc95 pcSame

General Security

33 pc39 pc- 4 pc

NSW Murray (Zones 10 & 11)

   

 High Security

97 pc97 pcSame

General Security

44 pc110 pc- 66 pc

Lachlan

   

High Security

100 pc100 pcSame

General Security

6 pc0 pc+ 6 pc

Vic Murray (Zones 6 & 7)

   

High Reliability

73 pc100 pc- 17 pc

Low Reliability

0 pc0 pcSame

SA Murray
 
100 pc100 pcSame

Murrumbidgee Deep Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Lower Murray Deep Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Lower Lachlan Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Trade Restrictions

MURRUMBIDGEE/MURRAY IVT

Is closed for Murrumbidgee to Murray trade, but OPEN for Murray to Murrumbidgee trade with a balance of 96.8GL.

BARMAH CHOKE 
Is closed.

Interstate trading

Allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is limited to the lesser of a net annual volume of 200 GL, or a volume that keeps the risk of spill in Victoria’s share of both Hume and Dartmouth reservoirs below 50 per cent. As the risk of spill from Victoria’s share of Hume and Dartmouth is currently greater than 50 per cent, allocation trade from New South Wales to Victoria is not possible. The volume available for trade is updated monthly with each risk of spill announcement.

Storages

According to the Bureau of Meterorology (BOM), storage levels are currently as follows:

 As at 9am Current 1 Day  7 Days  30 Days  1 Year 
Murrumbidgee 20 Aug 2483.0 pcNIL+ 0.4 pc+ 7.0 pc- 11.2 pc
Blowering18 Aug 2484.8 pc -0.01 pc+ 0.2 pc+ 9.4 pc- 8.2pc
Burrinjuck18 Aug 2480.2 pc+ 0.1 pc+ 0.5 pc+ 3.7 pc- 17.0 pc
Murray20 Aug 2480.4 pcNIL+ 0.1 pc+ 1.8 pc- 9.7 pc
Hume18 Aug 2472.4 pcNILNIL+ 3.1 pc- 24.4 pc
Dartmouth19 Aug 2495.1 pcNIL+ 0.2 pc+ 0.7 pc- 1.8 pc
Lachlan 20 Aug 2495.0 pcNIL+ 0.9 pc
+ 3.5 pc- 4.1 pc
Wyangala18 Aug 2494.9 pc- 0.1 pc+ 1.1 pc+ 3.5 pc- 3.6 pc

Current Temporary Market

ZoneBuyersSellersLast tradeTrend
Murrumbidgee$135$135$135Steady
NSW Murray 10 (Above Choke)$100$100$100Steady
NSW Murray 11 (Below Choke)$135$140$135Steady
Vic Murray 6 (Above Choke)$110$110$110Up
Vic Murray 7 (Above Choke)$150$150$150Steady
SA Murray$150$150$150Steady
Lachlan$100$100$100Steady
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 1--- 
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 2--- 
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 3--- 
Lower Murray Groundwater--- 
Lower Lachlan Groundwater$50$50$50Steady

Current Permanent Market 

Indicative pricing is as follows: 

 Zone  Price per mL 
Murrumbidgee 
High Security$8,400 to $8,500
General Security$2,500 to $2,600
Supplementary$800 to $850
NSW Murray Above Choke (Zone 10) 
High Security$7,400 to $7,500
General Security$1,600 to $1,650
NSW Murray Below Choke (Zone 11) 
High Security$8,500 to $8,650
General Security$2,400 to $2,600
VIC Murray Above Choke (Zone 6) 
High Security$4,400 to $4,500
General Security$800 to $875
VIC Murray Below Choke (Zone 7) 
High Security$6.000 to $6,500
General Security$1,900 to $2,000
SA Murray Class 3$6,500 to $7,000
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer (zone dependent)$3,800 to $4,200
Lachlan (Upper & Lower) 
High Security$1,500 to $1,600
General Security$4,500 to $4,550
Lower Murray Deep Groundwater$2,700 to $2,800
Lower Lachlan Groundwater$3,500 to $4,000

SEASONAL OUTLOOK

The Bereau Of Meteorology released an updated outlook on 15 August. In summary:

The long-range forecast for September to November shows:

  • Rainfall is likely to be within the typical seasonal range for much of the eastern half of Australia.
  • Drier than average conditions are likely for large parts of the western half of Australia.
  • Warmer than average days and nights are very likely across most of Australia.

 

Disclaimer – important, please read:

The information contained in this article is given for general information purposes only, current at the time of first publication, and does not constitute professional advice.  The article has been independently created by a human author using some degree of creativity through consultation with various third-party sources.  Third party information has been sourced from means which Elders consider to be reliable.  However, Elders has not independently verified the information and cannot guarantee its accuracy.  Links or references to third party sources are provided for convenience only and do not constitute endorsement of material by third parties or any associated product or service offering.  While Elders has exercised reasonable care, skill and diligence in preparation of this article, many factors including environmental/seasonal factors and market conditions can impact its accuracy and currency.  The information should not be relied upon under any circumstances and, to the extent permitted by law, Elders disclaim liability for any loss or damage arising out of any reliance upon the information contained in this article.  If you would like to speak to someone for tailored advice specific to your circumstances relating to any of the matters referred to in this article, please contact Elders.

Meet the author

Daisy Armstrong

Water Broker
  • Elders Griffith

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