Latest water update

 

Welcome to the Elders Water Market Update for the 2024/25 season, for the week beginning 11 November 2024.

Opportunities of the week

  • Buyer of 50 megalitres of Murrumbidgee Irrigation High Security entitlement at $8,700 per megalitre, inclusive of 2024/25 allocation.

Allocations

The following allocation announcements were made on Friday:

  • LACHLAN general security received no allocation increase, leaving total allocation at 6 per cent (pc)

As such , allocations are as follows: 

 Zone  Allocation 1 year ago  +/- per cent 

Murrumbidgee

   

High Security

95 pc95 pcSame

General Security

34 pc46 pc- 12 pc

NSW Murray (Zones 10 & 11)

   

 High Security

97 pc100 pc- 3 pc

General Security

44 pc110 pc- 66 pc

Lachlan

   

High Security

100 pc100 pcSame

General Security

6 pc0 pc+ 6 pc

Vic Murray (Zones 6 & 7)

   

High Reliability

98 pc100 pc- 2 pc

Low Reliability

0 pc0 pcSame

SA Murray
 
100 pc100 pcSame

Murrumbidgee Deep Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Lower Murray Deep Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Lower Lachlan Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Trade Restrictions

MURRUMBIDGEE/MURRAY IVT
Is currently open for both Murrumbidgee to Murray and Murray to Murrumbidgee trade, with balances as follows:

  • Murrumbidgee to Murray - 25.7GL
  • Murray to Murrumbidgee - 74.3GL

BARMAH CHOKE 
Is CLOSED.

Storages

According to the Bureau of Meterorology (BOM), storage levels are currently as follows:

 As at 9am Current 1 Day  7 Days  30 Days  1 Year 
Murrumbidgee 11 Nov 2469.8 pcNIL+ 0.7 pc- 7.1 pc- 10.5 pc
Blowering9 Nov 2467.9 pc + 0.1 pc+ 0.3 pc- 5.1 pc- 6.4 pc
Burrinjuck9 Nov 2472.9 pcNIL- 0.7 pc- 11.5 pc- 15.6 pc
Murray11 Nov 2476.4 pcNIL- 0.9 pc- 3.8 pc- 19.4 pc
Hume9 Nov 2456.7 pc- 0.2 pc- 1.4 pc- 6.9 pc- 35.3 pc
Dartmouth10 Nov 2490.2 pc- 0.1 pc- 1.2 pc- 4.1 pc- 8.7 pc
Lachlan 11 Nov 2493.7 pcNIL- 0.6 pc- 1.9 pc- 0.6 pc
Wyangala9 Nov 2493.5 pc- 0.1 pc- 0.8 pc- 2.2 pc- 0.9 pc

Current Temporary Market

Warmer temperatures combined with increased usage have seen most temporary markets trend upwards over the past week, a trend which is expected to continue given the lack of predicted rainfall. Indicative pricing is as follows:

ZoneBuyersSellersLast tradeTrend
Murrumbidgee$150$150$150Steady
NSW Murray 10 (Above Choke)$130$135$130Steady
NSW Murray 11 (Below Choke)$150$150$150Steady
Vic Murray 6 (Above Choke)$135$140$138Up
Vic Murray 7 (Above Choke)$150$155$155Up
SA Murray$150$150$150Steady
Lachlan$75$80$80Steady
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 1--- 
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 2--- 
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 3$30$50$50Steady
Lower Murray Groundwater$40$40$40Steady
Lower Lachlan Groundwater$50$50$50Steady

Current Permanent Market 

Indicative pricing is as follows: 

 Zone  Price per mL 
Murrumbidgee 
High Security$8,550 to $8,650
General Security$2,550 to $2,650
Supplementary$800 to $850
NSW Murray Above Choke (Zone 10) 
High Security$7,500 to $7,600
General Security$1,700 to $1,800
NSW Murray Below Choke (Zone 11) 
High Security$8,600 to $8,700
General Security$2,600 to $2,700
VIC Murray Above Choke (Zone 6) 
High Security$4,100 to $4,200
General Security$750 to $850
VIC Murray Below Choke (Zone 7) 
High Security$6,850 to $6,950
General Security$2,000 to $2,100
SA Murray Class 3$6,950 to $7,050
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer (zone dependent)$3,800 to $4,200
Lachlan (Upper & Lower) 
High Security$1,500 to $1,600
General Security$4,500 to $4,550
Lower Murray Deep Groundwater$2,700 to $2,800
Lower Lachlan Groundwater$3,500 to $4,000

SEASONAL OUTLOOK

The Bereau Of Meteorology released an updated outlook on 7 November. In summary:

The long-range forecast for December to February shows:

  • above average rainfall is likely for large parts of eastern Australia
  • warmer than average days and nights are likely to very likely across most of Australia
  • unusually high rainfall is likely for parts of the south-east and in far northern Queensland
  • unusually high minimum temperatures are very likely for much of northern and eastern Australia.

 

Disclaimer – important, please read:

The information contained in this article is given for general information purposes only, current at the time of first publication, and does not constitute professional advice.  The article has been independently created by a human author using some degree of creativity through consultation with various third-party sources.  Third party information has been sourced from means which Elders consider to be reliable.  However, Elders has not independently verified the information and cannot guarantee its accuracy.  Links or references to third party sources are provided for convenience only and do not constitute endorsement of material by third parties or any associated product or service offering.  While Elders has exercised reasonable care, skill and diligence in preparation of this article, many factors including environmental/seasonal factors and market conditions can impact its accuracy and currency.  The information should not be relied upon under any circumstances and, to the extent permitted by law, Elders disclaim liability for any loss or damage arising out of any reliance upon the information contained in this article.  If you would like to speak to someone for tailored advice specific to your circumstances relating to any of the matters referred to in this article, please contact Elders.

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Meet the author

Daisy Armstrong

Water Broker
  • Elders Griffith

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