Water Update - 18 January

 

Welcome to the latest Elders Water Market Update for the week beginning 8 January 2024.

Allocations

Current allocations are as follows:

 Zone  Allocation 1 year ago  +/- per cent 

Murrumbidgee

   

High Security

95 pc95 pcSame

General Security

60 pc65 pc- 5 pc

NSW Murray (Zones 10 & 11)

   

 High Security

100 pc100 pcSame

General Security

110 pc110 pcSame

Lachlan

   

High Security

100 pc100 pcSame

General Security

0 pc115 pc- 115 pc

Vic Murray (Zones 6 & 7)

   

High Reliability

100 pc100 pcSame

Low Reliability

16 pc100 pc- 84 pc

SA Murray
 
100 pc100 pcSame

Murrumbidgee Deep Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Lower Murray Deep Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Lower Lachlan Groundwater

100 pc100 pcSame

Supplementary Events

There are some areas where supplementary flows remain active, details of which can be found by clicking the following links: 

Trade Restrictions

MURRUMBIDGEE/MURRAY IVT
Current balances are as follows: 

  • 89.8 gigalitres (GL)  is tradeable from the Murrumbidgee into the NSW Murray 
  • 10.2 GL is tradeable from the Murray into the Murrumbidgee


BARMAH CHOKE
Is closed. 

 Storages

According to the Bureau of Meterorology (BOM), storage levels are currently as follows:

  Current 1 Day  7 Days  30 Days  1 Year 
Murrumbidgee 79.2 pcNIL+ 0.1 pc- 3.6 pc- 16.2 pc
Blowering67.9 pc- 0.1 pc- 1.5 pc- 6.1 pc- 26.8 pc
Burrinjuck97.0 pc+ 0.4 pc+ 2.3 pc+ 0.6 pc- 1.1 pc
Murray91.3 pcNIL- 0.2 pc- 2.1 pc- 5.2 pc
Hume84.8 pcNIL- 0.6 pc- 4.0 pc- 12.0 pc
Dartmouth97.7 pcNILNIL- 0.7 pc- 2.0 pc
Lachlan 93.0 pcNILNIL- 0.9 pc- 4.8 pc
Wyangala92.8 pcNILNIL- 1.1 pc- 5.0 pc

Current Temporary Market

 Zone Buyers  Sellers  Last Trade 
Murrumbidgee$65$70$65
NSW Murray 10 (Above Choke)$25$30$25
NSW Murray 11 (Below Choke)$65$70$70
Vic Murray 6 (Above Choke)$65$65$65
Vic Murray 7 (Above Choke)$70$75$70
SA Murray$70$75$70
Lachaln $120$120$115
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 1---
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 2---
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer Zone 3---
Lower Murray Groundwater---
Lower Lachlan Groundwater $50$50$50

Current Permanent Market 

Indicative pricing is as follows:

 Zone  Price per mL 
Murrumbidgee 
High Security$8,500 to $8,600
General Security$2,400 to $2,500
Supplementary$800 to $850
NSW Murray Above Choke (Zone 10) 
High Security$7,100 to $7,200
General Security$1,700 to $1,750
NSW Murray Below Choke (Zone 11) 
High Security$9,100 to $9,200
General Security$2,600 to $2,700
VIC Murray Above Choke (Zone 6) 
High Security$4,600 to $4,700
General Security$700 to $800
VIC Murray Below Choke (Zone 7) 
High Security$7,300 to $7,500
General Security$1,750 to $1,850
SA Murray Class 3$7,000 to $7,500
Murrumbidgee Deep Aquifer (zone dependent)$3,800 to $4,500
Lachlan (Upper & Lower) 
High Security$1,500 to $1,600
General Security$4,500 to $4,550
Lower Murray Deep Groundwater$2,700 to $2,800
Lower Lachlan Groundwater$3,500 to $4,000

Seasonal Outlook

The BOM released an updated outlook on 4 January. The full outlook can be viewed by clicking here but, in summary: 

  • January to March rainfall is likely to be above median across the south-east of Australia and below median across much of the north and west of Australia.
  • January to March maximum and minimum temperatures are very likely to be above median for most of Australia.
  • January to March maximum and minimum temperatures are at least 2.5 times more likely than normal to be unusually high for much of Australia. Unusually high temperatures equate to the warmest 20 pc of January to March periods from 1981 to 2018.
  • The long-range forecast is influenced by several factors, including the active El Niño, an easing positive Indian Ocean Dipole event and record warm oceans globally.

The information contained in this article is given for the purpose of providing general information only, and while Elders has exercised reasonable care, skill and diligence in its preparation, many factors (including environmental and seasonal) can impact its accuracy and currency. Accordingly, the information should not be relied upon under any circumstances and Elders assumes no liability for any loss consequently suffered. If you would like to speak to someone for tailored advice relating to any of the matters referred to in this article, please contact Elders.

Meet the author

Daisy Armstrong

Water Broker
  • Elders Griffith

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